It's a fairly short bike segment, only 10 miles. The new route is describes as moderately hilly. My initial thought was "Crud! This was supposed to be an easy bike route." But my glass-half-full nature quickly kicked in. The course change simply makes it better practice for the Patriot which is a longer and hillier route yet. In any event, I'm definitely going to drive the course in advance and capture the profile on my Garmin later this week just so I know exactly what I'm up against. Information is power, or so they say.
This also motivated me to get out on my bike this morning for my ten-mile-double-hill route before work. While I was out there, I started thinking about what my time expectations might be for this race. These aren't goals, but expectations.
- run - it's a hilly 5K run course so I'm going to say 31:00 although I'd like to see something faster than that.
- t1 - 2 1/2 minutes, just a total guess
- bike - moderately hilly 10 mile course, I'm thinking 40 minutes, will adjust guess once I measure the course profile and exact distance.
- t2 - 2 1/2 minutes, again a total guess
- swim - it's a 400 yd pool swim, up and back in each lane then over...serpentine style. If the swim were first, I'd say 8:45 +/- 15 sec, but it's last which means the lanes will be congested with folks that are faster than me on land and slower in the water. I'm guessing maybe closer to 10 minutes because of that.
That puts my total expected finish at something like 86 minutes (01:26:00). Guess we'll see how good I am at guessing!
As far as goals, this is what I'm currently thinking:
- Don't crash/trip/fall or otherwise end up bloody/bruised/broken.
- Finish strong with a smile on my face.
- Enjoy the experience and be ready to do it again on a harder course three weeks later.